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Investing Overview
As individuals, each of us is unique.
But when it comes to investing, while we each have distinct
investment objectives, we tend to fall into two general
groups for the core of our portfolios - investors adopt
either an actively managed or passively managed investment
approach. Why do we strongly recommend you adopt a passive
approach?
An Efficient Debate
A long-standing debate about the stock markets has been
whether or not they are "efficient." The Efficient
Market Hypothesis (EMH) is the basis for the body of
academic work known as Modern Portfolio Theory, upon
which the American Law Institute built its prudent investing
guidelines for trust fiduciaries.
EMH states that markets quickly and accurately
reflect available information, and are setting "fair"
prices for buyer and seller. Inefficient markets, in
contrast, would enable a savvy investor to exploit security
prices that do not accurately reflect all available
information or do not respond quickly to new information.
Few would argue either extreme - that markets are purely
efficient or inefficient. But those who actively invest
believe that markets are at least inefficient enough
to make it worth the treasure hunt. They will pay the
costs involved in attempting to find mispriced stocks,
bonds, sectors or markets to buy and sell. Instead heeding
the academic evidence, the conclusion is that markets
are too efficient to allow investors to consistently
overcome the costs involved in identifying potentially
mispriced securities.
We Can Be Our Own Worst Enemies
Despite the academic evidence, many of us still are
tempted to pursue that undiscovered stock-picking method
or broker who can successfully pick the winners and
avoid the losers. Behavioral economists have studied
this tendency toward investor overconfidence - as well
as a large array of behavioral traits (such as regret
avoidance, irrational exuberance, and the endowment
effect, to name just a few).
Illuminating these ingrained behavioral
instincts under the light of academic scrutiny, researchers
have detected numerous examples of how they can have
a significant negative impact on a portfolio's long-term
outcome for those who are unwary of their existence.
To provide one example related to overconfidence, the
consulting firm FutureMetrics studies the performance
of major U.S. corporate pension plans; their most recent
analysis included 201 firms during the 17-year period
1987-2003. Out of the 201 pension plans attempting to
outperform the benchmark, 13 percent (26 plans) succeeded.
Eighty-seven percent failed to outperform the simple
passive benchmark. It would be logical to assume that
individual investors, with far fewer resources available
to them, would likely fare even worse.
Our Conclusion
By accepting the Efficient Markets Hypothesis as fundamental
to your investment strategy (whether "you"
are an individual, family or retirement plan), you don't
have to spend time chasing the very few mispriced securities
that might occur. Instead, you can focus your efforts
on:
• Defining and incorporating an
appropriate amount of risk within your investments
• Capturing as much of the market returns as possible
given your risk tolerances
• Minimizing costs that might otherwise detract
from your returns
• Periodically rebalancing your portfolio according
to these guidelines
• Spending your leisure time pursuing your life's
interests, rather than trying to predict or react to
every market fluctuation.
To achieve these goals, Focus helps you:
(1) Implement and
maintain a disciplined investment strategy using investment
vehicles specifically designed for this purpose.
(2) Recognize and successfully avoid behavioral traits
that can weaken your resolve to stay the course in a
continuously volatile market.
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